Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000864 0.000898 0.000933 0.000971 0.001011 0.001053 0.001099
2025-10-12 0.000803 0.000853 0.000906 0.000965 0.001031 0.001101 0.001182
2025-10-19 0.000757 0.000818 0.000884 0.000961 0.001048 0.001144 0.001260
2025-10-26 0.000717 0.000786 0.000862 0.000952 0.001057 0.001177 0.001325
2025-11-02 0.000690 0.000766 0.000850 0.000953 0.001076 0.001220 0.001403
2025-11-09 0.000660 0.000740 0.000831 0.000943 0.001080 0.001243 0.001456
2025-11-16 0.000634 0.000717 0.000812 0.000932 0.001081 0.001262 0.001504
2025-11-23 0.000624 0.000712 0.000815 0.000947 0.001112 0.001319 0.001604
2025-11-30 0.000610 0.000701 0.000809 0.000949 0.001129 0.001358 0.001680
2025-12-07 0.000590 0.000682 0.000793 0.000938 0.001127 0.001371 0.001721
2025-12-14 0.000569 0.000662 0.000775 0.000923 0.001119 0.001376 0.001752
2025-12-21 0.000554 0.000648 0.000763 0.000916 0.001121 0.001393 0.001799
2025-12-28 0.000528 0.000620 0.000733 0.000884 0.001088 0.001363 0.001777
2026-01-04 0.000516 0.000609 0.000724 0.000881 0.001094 0.001386 0.001835
2026-01-11 0.000505 0.000599 0.000717 0.000878 0.001101 0.001410 0.001895
2026-01-18 0.000493 0.000588 0.000706 0.000871 0.001100 0.001423 0.001940
2026-01-25 0.000485 0.000581 0.000702 0.000872 0.001112 0.001455 0.002014
2026-02-01 0.000473 0.000569 0.000691 0.000863 0.001109 0.001463 0.002052
2026-02-08 0.000462 0.000558 0.000680 0.000854 0.001104 0.001470 0.002087
2026-02-15 0.000460 0.000558 0.000685 0.000866 0.001132 0.001526 0.002208
2026-02-22 0.000454 0.000553 0.000682 0.000869 0.001144 0.001560 0.002293
2026-03-01 0.000444 0.000542 0.000671 0.000859 0.001138 0.001564 0.002325
2026-03-08 0.000433 0.000531 0.000659 0.000846 0.001127 0.001559 0.002342